Avocado Price Forecast — 7-Day European Market Projection
The forecast on this page projects European avocado prices for the next seven days, built from the most recent week of daily wholesale averages across Germany, France, Spain, the Netherlands and Poland. A linear trend model — aligned with CIRAD FruiTrop weekly reporting — projects the coming week, while origin and variety composition give the projection its market context.
Short-horizon avocado forecasts are most reliable when supply is stable; watch for deviations during origin transitions (for example the Peru-to-Spain handover in early autumn) and heavy retail promotion weeks, when demand pulls volume through faster than the trend implies.
Forecasts are informational projections from live market data — not financial or trading advice.
Frequently asked questions
How is the avocado price forecast calculated?
The model takes the last seven days of daily European wholesale averages, fits a linear trend and projects it forward day by day for the coming week, weighting the reading by the origin and variety composition currently in the market.
How accurate is the forecast?
Short-horizon projections track well in stable supply periods. Expect deviations during origin season transitions and strong retail promotion weeks, which can pull volume through faster than the trend line implies.
Can I get a price forecast for a specific market or caliber?
Yes — the interactive dashboard lets you filter the forecast by country, variety and caliber, and the My Market tool can email you when prices reach your target. See the Dashboard and Price Alerts pages.